Viability of Rural Microgrids to Ensure Basic Well-Being under International Diverging Socio-Economic Futures in Bolivia¿s Inter-Andean Valleys

Abstract

This study aims to project a set of relevant indicators to assess the feasibility of a microgrid, considering various socio-economic futures, with the goal of ensuring a decent standard of living for an isolated rural community in the Andean valleys of Bolivia by 2045. To this end, the research addresses several key components: projections of future local climatic conditions; the development of an electricity demand profile; an assessment of the region’s renewable energy source potential; and the selection of appropriate tech- nical and economic parameters informed by contrasting socio-economic scenarios. These components are integrated into a comprehensive microgrid modeling and optimization framework, enabling a rigorous evaluation of the feasibility of sustainable rural electrifi- cation strategies across diverse future contexts.