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The effect of the 2008 financial crisis on Morroccan stock market using models

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Benmoussa, Mohamed Yazid ULiège
Promotor(s) : Artige, Lionel ULiège
Date of defense : 5-Sep-2018/11-Sep-2018 • Permalink : http://hdl.handle.net/2268.2/6001
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Title : The effect of the 2008 financial crisis on Morroccan stock market using models
Translated title : [fr] Analyse des marchés financiers et performance des sociétés cotées en bours au Maroc avant et après 2008
Author : Benmoussa, Mohamed Yazid ULiège
Date of defense  : 5-Sep-2018/11-Sep-2018
Advisor(s) : Artige, Lionel ULiège
Committee's member(s) : Streel, Alexandre ULiège
Ledent, Maxime ULiège
Language : English
Number of pages : 58
Keywords : [fr] Stock returns
[fr] Firm characteristics
[fr] performance
[fr] Financial crisis
[fr] Casablanca Stock exchange
[fr] Asset pricing models
[fr] market anomalies
Discipline(s) : Business & economic sciences > Finance
Institution(s) : Université de Liège, Liège, Belgique
Degree: Master en sciences de gestion, à finalité spécialisée en Banking and Asset Management
Faculty: Master thesis of the HEC-Ecole de gestion de l'Université de Liège

Abstract

[fr] This study aims to investigate the effect of the 2008 crisis on Moroccan stock market, using asset pricing models, knowing the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), Fama and French three-factor model, and the Carhart’s four-factor model. These multi-factors models were tested for the period starting 2005 to 2012 and giving much more importance to sub-period related to the crisis event.
For that, we sorted portfolios based on firm’s characteristics, structure and performance, we calculated the premiums related to these models, and run time series regressions in order to study the explanatory power of each independent variable. After that, we used the chow test to validate the break-in time related to the Global Financial Crisis. We found that the Carhart’s four-factor model capture the return stocks in CSE better than the other two models; also, reaction to the financial crisis is as expected for some factors and take a longer time to readjust for others. We conclude that the results are highly dependent on portfolios selection and sub-period related to the crisis.


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  • Benmoussa, Mohamed Yazid ULiège Université de Liège > Master sc. gest., à fin.

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