HEC-Ecole de gestion de l'Université de Liège
HEC-Ecole de gestion de l'Université de Liège

An analysis of the impact of connection time on air passenger demand

Dadoumont, Alix ULiège
Promotor(s) : Schyns, Michael ULiège
Date of defense : 6-Sep-2016/12-Sep-2016 • Permalink :
Title : An analysis of the impact of connection time on air passenger demand
Author : Dadoumont, Alix ULiège
Date of defense  : 6-Sep-2016/12-Sep-2016
Advisor(s) : Schyns, Michael ULiège
Committee's member(s) : Lambert, Marie ULiège
Lurkin, Virginie ULiège
Language : English
Keywords : [en] connection time
[en] air itinerary demand
[en] air passenger demand
[en] short connections
[en] linear regression model
[en] nonparametric regression
Discipline(s) : Business & economic sciences > Production, distribution & supply chain management
Institution(s) : Université de Liège, Liège, Belgique
Degree: Master en ingénieur de gestion, à finalité spécialisée en Supply Chain Management and Business Analytics
Faculty: Master thesis of the HEC-Ecole de gestion de l'Université de Liège


[en] Although air itinerary demand has been subjected to intensive research for years, few studies specifically analyse the impact on passenger demand of connection time. It is traditionally assumed that passengers prefer to minimise the elapsed time of their trips and hence, connection time. However, it has since been demonstrated that passengers actually avoid short connections.
This paper therefore aims at challenging the assumption that passengers want to minimise connection times. A linear regression model describing air itinerary demand is developed to this end. The issue is then analysed in greater depth by adding new dimensions to the discussion. More particularly, the combined impacts on demand of connection time and trip purpose, departure time of day, past flight on-time performance and flight duration are studied.
Results suggest that aversion to risk of misconnection and discomfort associated with the necessity to rush imply a lower demand for short connection times. Demand appears to be nonlinear, increasing for additional minutes of connection time above the minimum connection time and decreasing afterwards. Results also indicate that the impact of connection time on demand varies depending on the analysed trip and passenger characteristics.
This paper is divided into six parts. It begins with an introduction of the context of the study and the definition of several research questions. An overview of the scientific literature on air itinerary demand is then provided with a focus on connection time analysis. After that, the analytical framework is presented and the methodology followed to build the final linear regression model is detailed. This model is then used to analyse connection time. Results are discussed and interpreted in the fifth chapter and the final chapter, besides summarising key findings and contributions, provides some recommendations based on these findings.



Access Thesis_AlixDadoumont_s111551.pdf
Size: 15.82 MB
Format: Adobe PDF


  • Dadoumont, Alix ULiège Université de Liège > Master ingé. gest., fin. spéc. supply chain man. (ex 2e ma.)


Committee's member(s)

  • Lambert, Marie ULiège Université de Liège - ULg > HEC-Ecole de gestion de l'ULg : UER > Analyse financière et finance d'entreprise
    ORBi View his publications on ORBi
  • Lurkin, Virginie ULiège Université de Liège - ULg > HEC-Ecole de gestion de l'ULg : UER > UER Opérations : Informatique de gestion
    ORBi View his publications on ORBi
  • Total number of views 69
  • Total number of downloads 18

All documents available on MatheO are protected by copyright and subject to the usual rules for fair use.
The University of Liège does not guarantee the scientific quality of these students' works or the accuracy of all the information they contain.